Final Oscar Predictions: Film Editing Oppenheimer to Become First Three Hour Movie t

January 2024 · 7 minute read

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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

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OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS

2024 Oscars Predictions:
Best Achievement in Film Editing

Weekly Commentary (Updated March 7, 2024): Jennifer Lame’s incredible editing on “Oppenheimer” will mark the first solo woman to win the category since Margaret Sixel for “Mad Max: Fury Road” (2015). It will also be the first three-hour movie to win since “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” (2003).

Will Win: “Oppenheimer” (Jennifer Lame)
Could Win: “Anatomy of a Fall” (Laurent Sénéchal)
Should Win: “Anatomy of a Fall”
Should have been here: “Air” (William Goldenberg) and “The Iron Claw” (Matthew Hannam)

Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Oscars predictions in all categories.

The 96th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 10.

And the Nominees Are:

  • Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures) — Jennifer Lame
  • Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon) — Laurent Sénéchal
  • Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) — Thelma Schoonmaker
  • The Holdovers” (Focus Features) — Kevin Tent
  • Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures) — Yorgos Mavropsaridis
  • Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Studio)**

    2022 category winner: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” (A24) — Paul Rogers

    Oscars Predictions Categories

    BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT

    About the Academy Awards

    The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

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